BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.
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Forest City
Class: 2A Class Rank: 58 Conference: (9-6) Overall: (10-12) Overall Strength = 70.83
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent Resid I Predict
1 11/22/2011 Home L 60.91 47 56 3A 47 (14- 8) Algona -10.12 1.12
2 11/29/2011 Home L 76.07 35 65 4A 4 (21- 3) Mason City 5.05 * -35.05
3 12/02/2011 Home L 58.04 19 67 2A 2 (24- 3) Estherville LC -12.99 * -35.01
4 12/05/2011 Away L 70.02 41 50 2A 47 ( 9-14) Emmetsburg -1.01 -7.99
5 12/06/2011 Home W * 68.67 54 16 1A 115 ( 1-21) Belmond-Klemme -2.36 * 40.36
6 12/09/2011 Home W * 75.23 52 32 1A 50 ( 9-14) North Iowa 4.20 15.80
7 12/13/2011 Home L * 67.92 47 56 2A 33 (19- 5) Osage -3.11 -5.89
8 12/16/2011 Away W * 81.73 44 36 2A 50 (14- 8) Garner-Hayfield 10.70 -2.70
9 12/19/2011 Home L 50.19 41 71 3A 29 (11-11) Cresco Crestwood -20.84 -9.16
10 01/03/2012 Away L * 56.27 49 59 1A 26 (14-10) Mason City Newman -14.76 4.76
11 01/06/2012 Away L * 52.23 32 82 2A 4 (25- 1) Britt West Hancock -18.79 * -31.21
12 01/07/2012 Home W 85.64 60 45 3A 45 (14-10) Clear Lake 14.61 0.39
13 01/13/2012 Away W * 66.68 57 45 2A 112 ( 5-17) Lake Mills -4.35 16.35
14 01/14/2012 Away L 79.05 50 54 1 3A 32 (11-11) Charles City 8.02 -12.02
15 01/17/2012 Away W * 74.66 68 27 1A 115 ( 1-21) Belmond-Klemme 3.63 * 37.37
16 01/24/2012 Away W * 80.91 48 47 2A 33 (19- 5) Osage 9.88 -8.88
17 01/27/2012 Home W * 75.74 58 53 2A 50 (14- 8) Garner-Hayfield 4.71 0.29
18 01/30/2012 Away W * 76.22 52 34 1A 50 ( 9-14) North Iowa 5.19 12.81
19 01/31/2012 Home L * 54.28 44 53 1A 26 (14-10) Mason City Newman -16.75 7.75
20 02/03/2012 Home L * 76.25 40 63 2A 4 (25- 1) Britt West Hancock 5.22 * -28.22
21 02/06/2012 Home W * 81.69 72 42 2A 112 ( 5-17) Lake Mills 10.66 19.34
22 02/11/2012 Away L * 94.23 40 48 2A 4 (25- 1) Britt West Hancock 23.21 * -31.21
Averages 71.03 47.7 50.0
Best game: 94.23 = 8 point loss to Britt West Hancock
Worst game: 50.19 = 30 point loss to Cresco Crestwood
Team stdev: 11.68